High-altitude winds as analyzed by GFS model on 30 June 2016. Data from earth.nullschool.net, adapted by CWG. Graphic: earth.nullschool.net

[The situation with global warming is bad enough; no need to make up a disaster where none exists. –Des]

[UPDATE: See Paul Beckwith’s rebuttal here, via Robin Westenra. –Des]

[UPDATE2: Climate Feedback gives the original claim a scientific credibility rating of “low”: Analysis of Gabriel Samuels’ “Scientists warn of ‘global climate emergency’ over shifting jet stream”. –Des]

By Jason Samenow
30 June 2016

(Washington Post) – Two bloggers have made a stunning claim that has spread like wildfire on the Internet: They say the Northern Hemisphere jet stream, the high-altitude river of winds that separates cold air from warm air, has done something new and outrageous. They say it has crossed the equator, joining the jet stream in the Southern Hemisphere. One said this signifies that the jet stream is ‘wrecked‘, the other said it means we have a “global climate emergency.”

But these shrill claims have no validity — air flow between the hemispheres occurs routinely. The claims are unsupported and unscientific, and they demonstrate the danger of wild assertions made by non-experts reaching and misleading the masses.

The two bloggers who have perpetuated this misinformation are Robert Scribbler, who describes himself as ” a progressive novelist, non-fiction writer and emerging threats expert,” and Paul Beckwith, who is working on a PhD with “a focus on abrupt climate system change” at the University of Ottawa. […]

I reached out to several atmospheric scientists, who have graduate degrees and are trusted sources in the profession, for their reaction to these claims. Without exception, they said air flow between the hemispheres is not at all uncommon.

“This is total nonsense,” said Cliff Mass, a professor of meteorology at the University of Washington. “Flow often crosses the equator.”

Mass added that the cross-equator flow identified by Scribbler and Beckwith is not between mid-latitude jet streams, as claimed. “The analysis is making mistakes that even one of my junior undergrads would not make,” Mass said.

Ryan Maue, a senior meteorologist with a doctoral degree who works at WeatherBell Analytics, agreed with Mass that the cross-equator flow is totally normal and not evidence of a joint hemispheric jet stream. “Cross-equatorial flow at both upper and lower levels is part of the seasonal transition of the Western Pacific monsoon through boreal summer,” he said. [more]

Claim that jet stream crossing equator is ‘climate emergency’ is utter nonsense


  1. Anonymous said...

    Claiming this is "nonsense" is nonsense. The atmospheric circulation has changed DRAMATICALLY as Nullschool (https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-90.84,50.20,559) shows DAILY.

    It's plain as day that there is a HUGE change in the jet stream.

    Attacking this information is more disinformation from the denialists camps.  


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